Incumbent Rep. John Rose's departure for the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race has left TN-06 an open seat under a newly redrawn congressional map approved in early May 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising with over $1.4 million and $977,000 cash on hand respectively as of late March, dwarfing the Democratic field's modest resources ahead of the August 6 primaries. This commanding position could face challenges from GOP primary infighting weakening the nominee, an upset Democratic primary producing a well-funded challenger, or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in suburban areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,992 Vol.
93%
民主党
$867 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. John Rose's departure for the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race has left TN-06 an open seat under a newly redrawn congressional map approved in early May 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising with over $1.4 million and $977,000 cash on hand respectively as of late March, dwarfing the Democratic field's modest resources ahead of the August 6 primaries. This commanding position could face challenges from GOP primary infighting weakening the nominee, an upset Democratic primary producing a well-funded challenger, or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$5,859終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. John Rose's departure for the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race has left TN-06 an open seat under a newly redrawn congressional map approved in early May 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising with over $1.4 million and $977,000 cash on hand respectively as of late March, dwarfing the Democratic field's modest resources ahead of the August 6 primaries. This commanding position could face challenges from GOP primary infighting weakening the nominee, an upset Democratic primary producing a well-funded challenger, or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,859終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. John Rose's departure for the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race has left TN-06 an open seat under a newly redrawn congressional map approved in early May 2026, yet trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising with over $1.4 million and $977,000 cash on hand respectively as of late March, dwarfing the Democratic field's modest resources ahead of the August 6 primaries. This commanding position could face challenges from GOP primary infighting weakening the nominee, an upset Democratic primary producing a well-funded challenger, or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in suburban areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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