Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,564 Vol.
89%
民主党
$1,070 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,633終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,633終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps's strong position drives trader consensus toward an 88.5% implied probability of a GOP hold in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, following his nine-point special election win in December 2025 despite Democratic overperformance. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized May 7 preserved the district's deep-red boundaries—historically a Trump +22 seat—bolstering Republican advantages amid the August 6 primaries. Former Democratic challenger Aftyn Behn's January announcement to skip a rematch, citing safety concerns, has left Democrats without a high-profile recruit, limiting flip potential barring a national midterm wave, Van Epps primary challenge, or unforeseen scandal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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