Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a clear edge in New Hampshire’s 2nd district race, where early polling shows her leading likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double digits in a rematch of their 2024 contest. The district’s D+2 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Democratic” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Democratic hands. Goodlander’s decision to seek re-election rather than challenge for the Senate seat has allowed her to consolidate support ahead of the September 8 primary, while Williams faces limited primary opposition. Recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire confirm the incumbent’s consistent advantage, though the race’s modest margins leave room for shifts driven by national conditions or primary outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
90%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$537 Vol.
90%
共和党
$3,967 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a clear edge in New Hampshire’s 2nd district race, where early polling shows her leading likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double digits in a rematch of their 2024 contest. The district’s D+2 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Democratic” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Democratic hands. Goodlander’s decision to seek re-election rather than challenge for the Senate seat has allowed her to consolidate support ahead of the September 8 primary, while Williams faces limited primary opposition. Recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire confirm the incumbent’s consistent advantage, though the race’s modest margins leave room for shifts driven by national conditions or primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$4,504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a clear edge in New Hampshire’s 2nd district race, where early polling shows her leading likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double digits in a rematch of their 2024 contest. The district’s D+2 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Democratic” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Democratic hands. Goodlander’s decision to seek re-election rather than challenge for the Senate seat has allowed her to consolidate support ahead of the September 8 primary, while Williams faces limited primary opposition. Recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire confirm the incumbent’s consistent advantage, though the race’s modest margins leave room for shifts driven by national conditions or primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a clear edge in New Hampshire’s 2nd district race, where early polling shows her leading likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double digits in a rematch of their 2024 contest. The district’s D+2 partisan voting index and Cook Political Report’s “Likely Democratic” rating underpin trader consensus that the seat remains in Democratic hands. Goodlander’s decision to seek re-election rather than challenge for the Senate seat has allowed her to consolidate support ahead of the September 8 primary, while Williams faces limited primary opposition. Recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire confirm the incumbent’s consistent advantage, though the race’s modest margins leave room for shifts driven by national conditions or primary outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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