Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th district ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats are set to nominate Chaz Molder, the well-funded Columbia mayor backed by the DCCC. Recent redistricting, enacted in May 2026 after court developments and signed into law, removed Democratic-leaning Nashville and adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the seat projected to have supported Trump by 23 points under the new lines. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. These structural shifts, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and limited recent polling showing only modest Democratic competitiveness, underpin trader consensus on an 83% Republican outcome in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,126 Vol.
$40,126 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$40,126 Vol.
$40,126 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,598 Vol.
83%
民主党
$21,528 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th district ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats are set to nominate Chaz Molder, the well-funded Columbia mayor backed by the DCCC. Recent redistricting, enacted in May 2026 after court developments and signed into law, removed Democratic-leaning Nashville and adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the seat projected to have supported Trump by 23 points under the new lines. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. These structural shifts, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and limited recent polling showing only modest Democratic competitiveness, underpin trader consensus on an 83% Republican outcome in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$40,126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th district ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats are set to nominate Chaz Molder, the well-funded Columbia mayor backed by the DCCC. Recent redistricting, enacted in May 2026 after court developments and signed into law, removed Democratic-leaning Nashville and adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the seat projected to have supported Trump by 23 points under the new lines. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. These structural shifts, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and limited recent polling showing only modest Democratic competitiveness, underpin trader consensus on an 83% Republican outcome in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Ogles faces a primary challenge from Charlie Hatcher in Tennessee’s 5th district ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats are set to nominate Chaz Molder, the well-funded Columbia mayor backed by the DCCC. Recent redistricting, enacted in May 2026 after court developments and signed into law, removed Democratic-leaning Nashville and adjusted boundaries to favor Republicans, with the seat projected to have supported Trump by 23 points under the new lines. Cook Political Report rates the contest Likely Republican. These structural shifts, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and limited recent polling showing only modest Democratic competitiveness, underpin trader consensus on an 83% Republican outcome in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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