Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,720 Vol.
85%
民主党
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$13,946終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,946終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for the GOP in TX-31's general election matchup against Democratic nominee Justin Early. The district's R+11 partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 60% share in 2024 and Carter's prior 64% victory margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning, as rated Solid or Safe by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Carter's fundraising dominance—$1.3 million raised versus Early's $89,000 through Q1—further bolsters his incumbency advantage amid quiet post-primary developments. No public polling exists yet, with the November 3 contest six months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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