The TX-33 race centers on an open seat following incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement, with post-redistricting boundaries creating a heavily Democratic-leaning district that limits Republican viability. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, bringing established name recognition and fundraising strength to the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum to date. A major national shift in voter sentiment, late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's baseline partisan composition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
$2,885 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,056 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-33 race centers on an open seat following incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement, with post-redistricting boundaries creating a heavily Democratic-leaning district that limits Republican viability. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, bringing established name recognition and fundraising strength to the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum to date. A major national shift in voter sentiment, late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$8,941終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-33 race centers on an open seat following incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement, with post-redistricting boundaries creating a heavily Democratic-leaning district that limits Republican viability. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, bringing established name recognition and fundraising strength to the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum to date. A major national shift in voter sentiment, late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,941終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-33 race centers on an open seat following incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement, with post-redistricting boundaries creating a heavily Democratic-leaning district that limits Republican viability. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, bringing established name recognition and fundraising strength to the general election on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum to date. A major national shift in voter sentiment, late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout in key precincts could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's baseline partisan composition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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