Texas's 33rd congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting preserved this advantage while prompting an open-seat contest featuring former representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Democratic congresswoman Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff. Allred's name recognition, fundraising, and prior electoral experience in overlapping areas have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters and reinforced trader expectations of a general-election victory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors have yet altered the consensus assessment reflected in current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日TX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$2,785 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting preserved this advantage while prompting an open-seat contest featuring former representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Democratic congresswoman Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff. Allred's name recognition, fundraising, and prior electoral experience in overlapping areas have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters and reinforced trader expectations of a general-election victory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors have yet altered the consensus assessment reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$5,143終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting preserved this advantage while prompting an open-seat contest featuring former representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Democratic congresswoman Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff. Allred's name recognition, fundraising, and prior electoral experience in overlapping areas have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters and reinforced trader expectations of a general-election victory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors have yet altered the consensus assessment reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,143終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 33rd congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting preserved this advantage while prompting an open-seat contest featuring former representative Colin Allred, who defeated sitting Democratic congresswoman Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff. Allred's name recognition, fundraising, and prior electoral experience in overlapping areas have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters and reinforced trader expectations of a general-election victory. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Low-probability shifts could arise from unforeseen national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors have yet altered the consensus assessment reflected in current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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