Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,224 Vol.
$45,224 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$45,224 Vol.
$45,224 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$27,440 Vol.
95%
共和党
$17,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$45,224終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,224終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage. The district, encompassing South Jersey suburbs of Philadelphia including Camden and Cherry Hill, supported Kamala Harris by roughly 19 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around D+10. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Norcross won his June 2 primary unopposed after securing 57.8% in the prior general election, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, a repeat challenger with limited fundraising, also faced no primary opposition. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats tracks these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late-breaking scandals, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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