NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,400 Vol.
$52,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
$52,400 Vol.
$52,400 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,404 Vol.
80%
民主党
$27,997 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$52,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21's open seat after Elise Stefanik's departure has reinforced Republican advantages in this historically GOP-leaning Northern New York district. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, defeating Robert Smullen amid higher GOP turnout that nearly doubled Democratic participation. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. These factors, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited competitive signals since the primaries, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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