Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent James Walkinshaw securing strong margins in prior cycles. The August 2026 Democratic primary cancellation allowed Walkinshaw to advance unopposed, while Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of the November general election. Failed mid-decade redistricting efforts left the 2021 map intact, preserving the seat's partisan composition amid broader Virginia House dynamics. This history and procedural stability underpin the dominant trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate health event, late-breaking scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout patterns in Northern Virginia.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,550 Vol.
97%
共和党
$11,596 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent James Walkinshaw securing strong margins in prior cycles. The August 2026 Democratic primary cancellation allowed Walkinshaw to advance unopposed, while Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of the November general election. Failed mid-decade redistricting efforts left the 2021 map intact, preserving the seat's partisan composition amid broader Virginia House dynamics. This history and procedural stability underpin the dominant trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate health event, late-breaking scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout patterns in Northern Virginia.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$28,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent James Walkinshaw securing strong margins in prior cycles. The August 2026 Democratic primary cancellation allowed Walkinshaw to advance unopposed, while Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of the November general election. Failed mid-decade redistricting efforts left the 2021 map intact, preserving the seat's partisan composition amid broader Virginia House dynamics. This history and procedural stability underpin the dominant trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate health event, late-breaking scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout patterns in Northern Virginia.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent James Walkinshaw securing strong margins in prior cycles. The August 2026 Democratic primary cancellation allowed Walkinshaw to advance unopposed, while Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of the November general election. Failed mid-decade redistricting efforts left the 2021 map intact, preserving the seat's partisan composition amid broader Virginia House dynamics. This history and procedural stability underpin the dominant trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major candidate health event, late-breaking scandal, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout patterns in Northern Virginia.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問