Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, an R+7 seat covering rural northeastern Arizona including parts of the Navajo Nation. A late-August poll showed Crane leading rematch opponent Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, extending the nine-point margin from 2024. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, leaving Crane to benefit from incumbency, higher cash reserves, and consistent support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Nez continues to emphasize Native American turnout and fundraising, yet current trader pricing of 69.5% for Republicans versus 29% for Democrats reflects the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s polling edge ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
29%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,468 Vol.
70%
民主党
$1,154 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, an R+7 seat covering rural northeastern Arizona including parts of the Navajo Nation. A late-August poll showed Crane leading rematch opponent Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, extending the nine-point margin from 2024. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, leaving Crane to benefit from incumbency, higher cash reserves, and consistent support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Nez continues to emphasize Native American turnout and fundraising, yet current trader pricing of 69.5% for Republicans versus 29% for Democrats reflects the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s polling edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$2,622終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, an R+7 seat covering rural northeastern Arizona including parts of the Navajo Nation. A late-August poll showed Crane leading rematch opponent Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, extending the nine-point margin from 2024. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, leaving Crane to benefit from incumbency, higher cash reserves, and consistent support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Nez continues to emphasize Native American turnout and fundraising, yet current trader pricing of 69.5% for Republicans versus 29% for Democrats reflects the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s polling edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,622終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a strong position in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, an R+7 seat covering rural northeastern Arizona including parts of the Navajo Nation. A late-August poll showed Crane leading rematch opponent Jonathan Nez 53% to 42%, extending the nine-point margin from 2024. Both candidates ran unopposed in the July primaries, leaving Crane to benefit from incumbency, higher cash reserves, and consistent support in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Nez continues to emphasize Native American turnout and fundraising, yet current trader pricing of 69.5% for Republicans versus 29% for Democrats reflects the district’s partisan lean and Crane’s polling edge ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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