The district's D+19 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in NY-14. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured 69.2 percent in 2024, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and modest primary opposition have reinforced this positioning. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome, though the district's underlying demographics and voting patterns create substantial structural barriers to any such shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,356 Vol.
$36,356 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$36,356 Vol.
$36,356 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$25,545 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,811 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+19 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in NY-14. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured 69.2 percent in 2024, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and modest primary opposition have reinforced this positioning. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome, though the district's underlying demographics and voting patterns create substantial structural barriers to any such shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$36,356終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+19 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in NY-14. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured 69.2 percent in 2024, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and modest primary opposition have reinforced this positioning. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome, though the district's underlying demographics and voting patterns create substantial structural barriers to any such shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,356終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's D+19 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in NY-14. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured 69.2 percent in 2024, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Limited Republican recruitment and modest primary opposition have reinforced this positioning. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome, though the district's underlying demographics and voting patterns create substantial structural barriers to any such shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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