California's 28th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and long-term incumbent Judy Chu, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 62 percent against Republican April Verlato. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, fundraising edges, and limited crossover support in recent cycles. The general election timeline through November 3, 2026, offers few scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent unforeseen developments. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require major shifts such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$138,180 Vol.
$138,180 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$138,180 Vol.
$138,180 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$58,083 Vol.
96%
共和党
$80,097 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and long-term incumbent Judy Chu, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 62 percent against Republican April Verlato. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, fundraising edges, and limited crossover support in recent cycles. The general election timeline through November 3, 2026, offers few scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent unforeseen developments. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require major shifts such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$138,180終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and long-term incumbent Judy Chu, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 62 percent against Republican April Verlato. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, fundraising edges, and limited crossover support in recent cycles. The general election timeline through November 3, 2026, offers few scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent unforeseen developments. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require major shifts such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$138,180終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 28th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and long-term incumbent Judy Chu, who advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 62 percent against Republican April Verlato. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, fundraising edges, and limited crossover support in recent cycles. The general election timeline through November 3, 2026, offers few scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent unforeseen developments. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. Potential challenges remain narrow and would require major shifts such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extreme national political realignment altering turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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