Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,931 Vol.
$32,931 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
31%
$32,931 Vol.
$32,931 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$12,776 Vol.
70%
民主党
$20,155 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$32,931終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,931終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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