Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
8%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
$10,938 Vol.
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
$9,639 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問