The Unity party's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset race on September 4, days before the candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for a minimal national vote share. Recent polls from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar place the party at 0.1–2.7 percent—well below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold—with Blue and White (its occasional merger partner) similarly polling near or under 1 percent amid center-right fragmentation. Ongoing merger talks involving figures such as Gilad Erdan, Benny Gantz, and smaller Zionist Home or Reservists factions have not produced a unified slate, keeping the outcome sensitive to any late residual support or ballot access technicalities. This leaves the sub-0.5 percent and 0.75–1 percent bins closely matched as traders weigh near-zero results against the possibility of limited write-in or protest votes before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.5%未満 94.0%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
94%
0.5～0.75％
1%
0.75〜1%
1%
1～2％
1%
2%以上
1%
0.5%未満 94.0%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
$309 Vol.
94%
0.5～0.75％
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75〜1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1～2％
$112 Vol.
1%
2%以上
$176 Vol.
1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset race on September 4, days before the candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for a minimal national vote share. Recent polls from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar place the party at 0.1–2.7 percent—well below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold—with Blue and White (its occasional merger partner) similarly polling near or under 1 percent amid center-right fragmentation. Ongoing merger talks involving figures such as Gilad Erdan, Benny Gantz, and smaller Zionist Home or Reservists factions have not produced a unified slate, keeping the outcome sensitive to any late residual support or ballot access technicalities. This leaves the sub-0.5 percent and 0.75–1 percent bins closely matched as traders weigh near-zero results against the possibility of limited write-in or protest votes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$868終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset race on September 4, days before the candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for a minimal national vote share. Recent polls from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar place the party at 0.1–2.7 percent—well below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold—with Blue and White (its occasional merger partner) similarly polling near or under 1 percent amid center-right fragmentation. Ongoing merger talks involving figures such as Gilad Erdan, Benny Gantz, and smaller Zionist Home or Reservists factions have not produced a unified slate, keeping the outcome sensitive to any late residual support or ballot access technicalities. This leaves the sub-0.5 percent and 0.75–1 percent bins closely matched as traders weigh near-zero results against the possibility of limited write-in or protest votes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$868終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETThe Unity party's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset race on September 4, days before the candidate list deadline, has anchored trader expectations for a minimal national vote share. Recent polls from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar place the party at 0.1–2.7 percent—well below the 3.25 percent electoral threshold—with Blue and White (its occasional merger partner) similarly polling near or under 1 percent amid center-right fragmentation. Ongoing merger talks involving figures such as Gilad Erdan, Benny Gantz, and smaller Zionist Home or Reservists factions have not produced a unified slate, keeping the outcome sensitive to any late residual support or ballot access technicalities. This leaves the sub-0.5 percent and 0.75–1 percent bins closely matched as traders weigh near-zero results against the possibility of limited write-in or protest votes before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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