Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places Ra'am's projected support in the 4-6 seat range, reflecting modest but variable Arab voter consolidation behind Mansour Abbas's independent slate. A September 12 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al) aims to minimize wasted votes and maximize seat allocation, while Ra'am's technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz seeks to broaden appeal. Competing disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit before the Central Elections Committee introduce procedural uncertainty. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4-5.5% bands because recent surveys show limited movement in Ra'am's share amid stable turnout patterns and competition for Arab votes, with late shifts in mobilization or committee rulings the main variables that could widen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4～4.75％ 33%
3.25〜4％ 25%
3.25%未満 19%
4.75～5.5% 18%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
3.25%未満
16%
3.25〜4％
20%
4～4.75％
32%
4.75～5.5%
15%
5.5％以上
5%
4～4.75％ 33%
3.25〜4％ 25%
3.25%未満 19%
4.75～5.5% 18%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
3.25%未満
$294 Vol.
16%
3.25〜4％
$278 Vol.
20%
4～4.75％
$1,053 Vol.
32%
4.75～5.5%
$192 Vol.
15%
5.5％以上
$175 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places Ra'am's projected support in the 4-6 seat range, reflecting modest but variable Arab voter consolidation behind Mansour Abbas's independent slate. A September 12 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al) aims to minimize wasted votes and maximize seat allocation, while Ra'am's technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz seeks to broaden appeal. Competing disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit before the Central Elections Committee introduce procedural uncertainty. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4-5.5% bands because recent surveys show limited movement in Ra'am's share amid stable turnout patterns and competition for Arab votes, with late shifts in mobilization or committee rulings the main variables that could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
音量
$1,993終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places Ra'am's projected support in the 4-6 seat range, reflecting modest but variable Arab voter consolidation behind Mansour Abbas's independent slate. A September 12 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al) aims to minimize wasted votes and maximize seat allocation, while Ra'am's technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz seeks to broaden appeal. Competing disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit before the Central Elections Committee introduce procedural uncertainty. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4-5.5% bands because recent surveys show limited movement in Ra'am's share amid stable turnout patterns and competition for Arab votes, with late shifts in mobilization or committee rulings the main variables that could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$1,993終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:19 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places Ra'am's projected support in the 4-6 seat range, reflecting modest but variable Arab voter consolidation behind Mansour Abbas's independent slate. A September 12 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al) aims to minimize wasted votes and maximize seat allocation, while Ra'am's technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz seeks to broaden appeal. Competing disqualification petitions filed by Likud and Otzma Yehudit before the Central Elections Committee introduce procedural uncertainty. Trader consensus remains balanced across the 4-5.5% bands because recent surveys show limited movement in Ra'am's share amid stable turnout patterns and competition for Arab votes, with late shifts in mobilization or committee rulings the main variables that could widen the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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