Record advance voting has surged well ahead of the September 13 election, with more than three million ballots cast early by the final weekend—roughly half of eligible voters and a substantial increase from 2022 levels—signaling strong engagement that supports the market's emphasis on the 86-88% range. Sweden's consistent history of turnout near or above 84% in recent cycles, combined with a tight race between the center-left opposition and the governing bloc plus Sweden Democrats, has heightened mobilization efforts by parties and media attention. These factors have positioned higher turnout brackets as the trader consensus, while the low price on sub-82% outcomes reflects the absence of widespread apathy or logistical barriers in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日88%以上 20%
84〜86% 7%
82%未満 <1%
82〜84% 0
$7,144 Vol.
$7,144 Vol.
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
37%
84〜86%
28%
86〜88%
53%
88%以上
14%
88%以上 20%
84〜86% 7%
82%未満 <1%
82〜84% 0
$7,144 Vol.
$7,144 Vol.
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
37%
84〜86%
28%
86〜88%
53%
88%以上
14%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Record advance voting has surged well ahead of the September 13 election, with more than three million ballots cast early by the final weekend—roughly half of eligible voters and a substantial increase from 2022 levels—signaling strong engagement that supports the market's emphasis on the 86-88% range. Sweden's consistent history of turnout near or above 84% in recent cycles, combined with a tight race between the center-left opposition and the governing bloc plus Sweden Democrats, has heightened mobilization efforts by parties and media attention. These factors have positioned higher turnout brackets as the trader consensus, while the low price on sub-82% outcomes reflects the absence of widespread apathy or logistical barriers in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問