Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 6–9 seat range, translating to roughly 5–8% of the vote amid a fragmented Knesset where no bloc commands a clear majority. Trader consensus on the narrow 5–7% bands reflects this stability, shaped by the party's surplus-vote pact with Naftali Bennett's Together list, Avigdor Lieberman's public rejection of partnerships involving Ra'am, and the submission of a list featuring high-profile candidates such as a bereaved father in the second slot. Campaign coordination meetings between Lieberman and Bennett, combined with ongoing bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned parties and centrist opposition, have kept support steady without decisive shifts. Late-campaign security developments or turnout among the party's core immigrant and right-leaning voters could still alter the final percentage within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5〜6％ 43%
6～7％ 34%
7〜8％ 20%
5％未満 19%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
5％未満
19%
5〜6％
43%
6～7％
33%
7〜8％
22%
8％以上
18%
5〜6％ 43%
6～7％ 34%
7〜8％ 20%
5％未満 19%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
5％未満
$824 Vol.
19%
5〜6％
$119 Vol.
43%
6～7％
$208 Vol.
33%
7〜8％
$132 Vol.
22%
8％以上
$47 Vol.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 6–9 seat range, translating to roughly 5–8% of the vote amid a fragmented Knesset where no bloc commands a clear majority. Trader consensus on the narrow 5–7% bands reflects this stability, shaped by the party's surplus-vote pact with Naftali Bennett's Together list, Avigdor Lieberman's public rejection of partnerships involving Ra'am, and the submission of a list featuring high-profile candidates such as a bereaved father in the second slot. Campaign coordination meetings between Lieberman and Bennett, combined with ongoing bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned parties and centrist opposition, have kept support steady without decisive shifts. Late-campaign security developments or turnout among the party's core immigrant and right-leaning voters could still alter the final percentage within the resolution window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
音量
$1,329終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 6–9 seat range, translating to roughly 5–8% of the vote amid a fragmented Knesset where no bloc commands a clear majority. Trader consensus on the narrow 5–7% bands reflects this stability, shaped by the party's surplus-vote pact with Naftali Bennett's Together list, Avigdor Lieberman's public rejection of partnerships involving Ra'am, and the submission of a list featuring high-profile candidates such as a bereaved father in the second slot. Campaign coordination meetings between Lieberman and Bennett, combined with ongoing bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned parties and centrist opposition, have kept support steady without decisive shifts. Late-campaign security developments or turnout among the party's core immigrant and right-leaning voters could still alter the final percentage within the resolution window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$1,329終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETRecent polling averages for Israel's October 27 legislative election place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 6–9 seat range, translating to roughly 5–8% of the vote amid a fragmented Knesset where no bloc commands a clear majority. Trader consensus on the narrow 5–7% bands reflects this stability, shaped by the party's surplus-vote pact with Naftali Bennett's Together list, Avigdor Lieberman's public rejection of partnerships involving Ra'am, and the submission of a list featuring high-profile candidates such as a bereaved father in the second slot. Campaign coordination meetings between Lieberman and Bennett, combined with ongoing bloc competition between the Netanyahu-aligned parties and centrist opposition, have kept support steady without decisive shifts. Late-campaign security developments or turnout among the party's core immigrant and right-leaning voters could still alter the final percentage within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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