Ronny Jackson's status as the entrenched Republican incumbent in Texas's 13th District, a solidly conservative area covering the Panhandle and parts of North Texas, anchors the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Jackson secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on the other side. The seat's voting patterns, low Democratic fundraising visibility, and absence of competitive polling or major scandals since the primaries have kept probabilities stable near current levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,112 Vol.
$16,112 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$16,112 Vol.
$16,112 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,306 Vol.
94%
民主党
$12,807 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ronny Jackson's status as the entrenched Republican incumbent in Texas's 13th District, a solidly conservative area covering the Panhandle and parts of North Texas, anchors the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Jackson secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on the other side. The seat's voting patterns, low Democratic fundraising visibility, and absence of competitive polling or major scandals since the primaries have kept probabilities stable near current levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$16,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ronny Jackson's status as the entrenched Republican incumbent in Texas's 13th District, a solidly conservative area covering the Panhandle and parts of North Texas, anchors the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Jackson secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on the other side. The seat's voting patterns, low Democratic fundraising visibility, and absence of competitive polling or major scandals since the primaries have kept probabilities stable near current levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ronny Jackson's status as the entrenched Republican incumbent in Texas's 13th District, a solidly conservative area covering the Panhandle and parts of North Texas, anchors the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Jackson secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on the other side. The seat's voting patterns, low Democratic fundraising visibility, and absence of competitive polling or major scandals since the primaries have kept probabilities stable near current levels. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen national wave, significant candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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