Texas's 13th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24 that underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points on March 3, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive polling or credible Democratic fundraising, has kept probabilities stable near their current level with no major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or unforeseen redistricting changes remain the only realistic pathways that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,414 Vol.
92%
民主党
$9,862 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24 that underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points on March 3, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive polling or credible Democratic fundraising, has kept probabilities stable near their current level with no major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or unforeseen redistricting changes remain the only realistic pathways that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$11,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 13th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24 that underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points on March 3, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive polling or credible Democratic fundraising, has kept probabilities stable near their current level with no major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or unforeseen redistricting changes remain the only realistic pathways that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 13th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24 that underpins the 91.5 percent trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points on March 3, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with the absence of competitive polling or credible Democratic fundraising, has kept probabilities stable near their current level with no major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or unforeseen redistricting changes remain the only realistic pathways that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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