Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida's 13th congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican with an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting that shifted boundaries northward into Pasco County and strengthened the district's Republican lean. Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired brigadier general, has mounted an early campaign with over $560,000 raised in the first quarter of 2026, focusing on affordability and turnout concerns. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election remain distant, leaving room for national economic conditions, candidate performance in the Republican primary, and voter turnout patterns to influence outcomes. Trader consensus reflects Luna's incumbency advantage and the district's structural tilt while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic flip if Gray sustains momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
70%
民主党
29%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$221 Vol.
70%
民主党
$832 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida's 13th congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican with an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting that shifted boundaries northward into Pasco County and strengthened the district's Republican lean. Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired brigadier general, has mounted an early campaign with over $560,000 raised in the first quarter of 2026, focusing on affordability and turnout concerns. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election remain distant, leaving room for national economic conditions, candidate performance in the Republican primary, and voter turnout patterns to influence outcomes. Trader consensus reflects Luna's incumbency advantage and the district's structural tilt while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic flip if Gray sustains momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$1,053終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida's 13th congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican with an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting that shifted boundaries northward into Pasco County and strengthened the district's Republican lean. Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired brigadier general, has mounted an early campaign with over $560,000 raised in the first quarter of 2026, focusing on affordability and turnout concerns. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election remain distant, leaving room for national economic conditions, candidate performance in the Republican primary, and voter turnout patterns to influence outcomes. Trader consensus reflects Luna's incumbency advantage and the district's structural tilt while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic flip if Gray sustains momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,053終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida's 13th congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican with an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting that shifted boundaries northward into Pasco County and strengthened the district's Republican lean. Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired brigadier general, has mounted an early campaign with over $560,000 raised in the first quarter of 2026, focusing on affordability and turnout concerns. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election remain distant, leaving room for national economic conditions, candidate performance in the Republican primary, and voter turnout patterns to influence outcomes. Trader consensus reflects Luna's incumbency advantage and the district's structural tilt while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic flip if Gray sustains momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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