Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination with more than 80 percent in the August 11, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Emmer's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's suburban and exurban composition in counties north of Minneapolis. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention, with the November timeline leaving limited room for late developments to alter the implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,845 Vol.
$37,845 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$37,845 Vol.
$37,845 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$20,463 Vol.
88%
民主党
$17,382 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination with more than 80 percent in the August 11, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Emmer's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's suburban and exurban composition in counties north of Minneapolis. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention, with the November timeline leaving limited room for late developments to alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,845終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination with more than 80 percent in the August 11, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Emmer's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's suburban and exurban composition in counties north of Minneapolis. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention, with the November timeline leaving limited room for late developments to alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,845終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 6th congressional district carries an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination with more than 80 percent in the August 11, 2026 primary and faces Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing Emmer's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's suburban and exurban composition in counties north of Minneapolis. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around Republican retention, with the November timeline leaving limited room for late developments to alter the implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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