Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,736 Vol.
$37,736 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$37,736 Vol.
$37,736 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$20,387 Vol.
88%
民主党
$17,382 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,736終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,736終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and current House majority whip, secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote in Minnesota's 6th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Emmer's 2024 win. Democratic nominee Doug Chapin faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Minneapolis suburbs and exurbs that favor Republican candidates on turnout and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the GOP nominee as the heavy favorite absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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