Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts between Russia and Ukraine have centered on proposals for temporary ceasefires and prisoner exchanges, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating on May 10 that the conflict is approaching its end while endorsing a three-day truce aligned with Victory Day events. These signals follow earlier trilateral discussions in Geneva during February and tentative plans for March talks that were postponed amid regional tensions. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated in April that resuming formal negotiations is not Moscow’s immediate priority, even as both sides continue limited humanitarian contacts. Traders are watching for whether direct bilateral meetings materialize amid ongoing battlefield developments and U.S. facilitation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$149,681 Vol.
2026/12/31
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
$149,681 Vol.
May 31
$73,506 Vol.
3%
June 30
$27,674 Vol.
27%
December 31
$48,500 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts between Russia and Ukraine have centered on proposals for temporary ceasefires and prisoner exchanges, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating on May 10 that the conflict is approaching its end while endorsing a three-day truce aligned with Victory Day events. These signals follow earlier trilateral discussions in Geneva during February and tentative plans for March talks that were postponed amid regional tensions. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated in April that resuming formal negotiations is not Moscow’s immediate priority, even as both sides continue limited humanitarian contacts. Traders are watching for whether direct bilateral meetings materialize amid ongoing battlefield developments and U.S. facilitation efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
音量
$149,681終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts between Russia and Ukraine have centered on proposals for temporary ceasefires and prisoner exchanges, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating on May 10 that the conflict is approaching its end while endorsing a three-day truce aligned with Victory Day events. These signals follow earlier trilateral discussions in Geneva during February and tentative plans for March talks that were postponed amid regional tensions. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated in April that resuming formal negotiations is not Moscow’s immediate priority, even as both sides continue limited humanitarian contacts. Traders are watching for whether direct bilateral meetings materialize amid ongoing battlefield developments and U.S. facilitation efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$149,681終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts between Russia and Ukraine have centered on proposals for temporary ceasefires and prisoner exchanges, with Russian President Vladimir Putin stating on May 10 that the conflict is approaching its end while endorsing a three-day truce aligned with Victory Day events. These signals follow earlier trilateral discussions in Geneva during February and tentative plans for March talks that were postponed amid regional tensions. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov indicated in April that resuming formal negotiations is not Moscow’s immediate priority, even as both sides continue limited humanitarian contacts. Traders are watching for whether direct bilateral meetings materialize amid ongoing battlefield developments and U.S. facilitation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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