**Recent U.S.-facilitated negotiations produced a partial ceasefire extension between Israel and Hezbollah-linked forces in Lebanon, curbing strikes on Beirut and reducing immediate threats to the embassy compound.** This has allowed core diplomatic operations to continue with essential personnel in place. The State Department ordered non-emergency staff departures in February 2026 amid earlier Iran-related tensions and a regional military buildup, but the embassy has remained open and functional since then. Subsequent security alerts through early June 2026, including the June 4 update, highlight ongoing volatility and Level 4 travel advisories for Lebanon while urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights. They contain no orders or indications of full embassy withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in June reinforce the view that a complete evacuation is unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the fragile ceasefire or major escalation could still alter assessments in the short window remaining, but current conditions support the strong trader consensus against full evacuation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$84,319 Vol.
$84,319 Vol.
2026/06/30
$84,319 Vol.
$84,319 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Recent U.S.-facilitated negotiations produced a partial ceasefire extension between Israel and Hezbollah-linked forces in Lebanon, curbing strikes on Beirut and reducing immediate threats to the embassy compound.** This has allowed core diplomatic operations to continue with essential personnel in place.
The State Department ordered non-emergency staff departures in February 2026 amid earlier Iran-related tensions and a regional military buildup, but the embassy has remained open and functional since then. Subsequent security alerts through early June 2026, including the June 4 update, highlight ongoing volatility and Level 4 travel advisories for Lebanon while urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights. They contain no orders or indications of full embassy withdrawal.
Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in June reinforce the view that a complete evacuation is unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the fragile ceasefire or major escalation could still alter assessments in the short window remaining, but current conditions support the strong trader consensus against full evacuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
音量
$84,319終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Recent U.S.-facilitated negotiations produced a partial ceasefire extension between Israel and Hezbollah-linked forces in Lebanon, curbing strikes on Beirut and reducing immediate threats to the embassy compound.** This has allowed core diplomatic operations to continue with essential personnel in place.
The State Department ordered non-emergency staff departures in February 2026 amid earlier Iran-related tensions and a regional military buildup, but the embassy has remained open and functional since then. Subsequent security alerts through early June 2026, including the June 4 update, highlight ongoing volatility and Level 4 travel advisories for Lebanon while urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights. They contain no orders or indications of full embassy withdrawal.
Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in June reinforce the view that a complete evacuation is unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the fragile ceasefire or major escalation could still alter assessments in the short window remaining, but current conditions support the strong trader consensus against full evacuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
音量
$84,319終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S.-facilitated negotiations produced a partial ceasefire extension between Israel and Hezbollah-linked forces in Lebanon, curbing strikes on Beirut and reducing immediate threats to the embassy compound.** This has allowed core diplomatic operations to continue with essential personnel in place. The State Department ordered non-emergency staff departures in February 2026 amid earlier Iran-related tensions and a regional military buildup, but the embassy has remained open and functional since then. Subsequent security alerts through early June 2026, including the June 4 update, highlight ongoing volatility and Level 4 travel advisories for Lebanon while urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights. They contain no orders or indications of full embassy withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in June reinforce the view that a complete evacuation is unnecessary before the June 30 deadline. A sudden breakdown in the fragile ceasefire or major escalation could still alter assessments in the short window remaining, but current conditions support the strong trader consensus against full evacuation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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