Recent developments in Israeli opposition politics have solidified trader expectations against Benny Gantz joining the Bennett-Lapid alliance. Following the April 26, 2026, launch of the “Together” (Beyachad) electoral list by former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, Gantz publicly criticized the merger as harmful to efforts to replace the current government. Blue and White polls remain below the electoral threshold, with voters split between favoring other alliances or Gantz’s withdrawal, and no merger talks have been reported. Gantz has instead signaled openness to broader unity frameworks, including potential cooperation with Benjamin Netanyahu. These factors, amid a fragmented center-right opposition ahead of the 2026 elections, underpin the 80.5% implied probability that Gantz will not align with Bennett and Lapid by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli opposition politics have solidified trader expectations against Benny Gantz joining the Bennett-Lapid alliance. Following the April 26, 2026, launch of the “Together” (Beyachad) electoral list by former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, Gantz publicly criticized the merger as harmful to efforts to replace the current government. Blue and White polls remain below the electoral threshold, with voters split between favoring other alliances or Gantz’s withdrawal, and no merger talks have been reported. Gantz has instead signaled openness to broader unity frameworks, including potential cooperation with Benjamin Netanyahu. These factors, amid a fragmented center-right opposition ahead of the 2026 elections, underpin the 80.5% implied probability that Gantz will not align with Bennett and Lapid by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
音量
$1,885終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli opposition politics have solidified trader expectations against Benny Gantz joining the Bennett-Lapid alliance. Following the April 26, 2026, launch of the “Together” (Beyachad) electoral list by former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, Gantz publicly criticized the merger as harmful to efforts to replace the current government. Blue and White polls remain below the electoral threshold, with voters split between favoring other alliances or Gantz’s withdrawal, and no merger talks have been reported. Gantz has instead signaled openness to broader unity frameworks, including potential cooperation with Benjamin Netanyahu. These factors, amid a fragmented center-right opposition ahead of the 2026 elections, underpin the 80.5% implied probability that Gantz will not align with Bennett and Lapid by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,885終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in Israeli opposition politics have solidified trader expectations against Benny Gantz joining the Bennett-Lapid alliance. Following the April 26, 2026, launch of the “Together” (Beyachad) electoral list by former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, Gantz publicly criticized the merger as harmful to efforts to replace the current government. Blue and White polls remain below the electoral threshold, with voters split between favoring other alliances or Gantz’s withdrawal, and no merger talks have been reported. Gantz has instead signaled openness to broader unity frameworks, including potential cooperation with Benjamin Netanyahu. These factors, amid a fragmented center-right opposition ahead of the 2026 elections, underpin the 80.5% implied probability that Gantz will not align with Bennett and Lapid by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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