Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$113,038 Vol.
$113,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$113,038 Vol.
$113,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$113,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$113,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled normalization talks, particularly with Saudi Arabia, continue to shape trader expectations that no additional country will formally accede to the Abraham Accords before the end of 2026. Riyadh maintains its longstanding requirement for concrete progress toward Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire as preconditions, despite repeated U.S. diplomatic overtures and bilateral summits. Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025 marked the most recent expansion, yet subsequent efforts involving potential candidates such as Somaliland, Syria, or Indonesia have produced no new formal agreements amid persistent regional frictions. This lack of momentum over the past six months underpins the current 55.4 percent implied probability for no further signatories.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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