Israeli forces maintain a fragile October 2025 ceasefire while conducting targeted airstrikes and limited incursions against Hamas operatives in Gaza, amid stalled talks on Phase 2 disarmament and withdrawal. Netanyahu has directed expansion of the Yellow Line to roughly 60-70% of the territory for security reasons and rejected phased pullbacks without full Hamas disarmament, even as US envoys including Kushner pressed for de-escalation in mid-August meetings. Hamas has signaled willingness to transfer heavy weapons under a technocratic administration but conditions it on Israeli withdrawal, creating a deadlock that sustains low-level operations without triggering a broader ground offensive. Recent strikes near civilian areas and warnings over drone activity underscore persistent tensions, with diplomats tracking implementation of any stabilization force or weapons handover roadmap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$752,051 Vol.
2025/10/30
12月31日
12%
$752,051 Vol.
12月31日
$102,420 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain a fragile October 2025 ceasefire while conducting targeted airstrikes and limited incursions against Hamas operatives in Gaza, amid stalled talks on Phase 2 disarmament and withdrawal. Netanyahu has directed expansion of the Yellow Line to roughly 60-70% of the territory for security reasons and rejected phased pullbacks without full Hamas disarmament, even as US envoys including Kushner pressed for de-escalation in mid-August meetings. Hamas has signaled willingness to transfer heavy weapons under a technocratic administration but conditions it on Israeli withdrawal, creating a deadlock that sustains low-level operations without triggering a broader ground offensive. Recent strikes near civilian areas and warnings over drone activity underscore persistent tensions, with diplomats tracking implementation of any stabilization force or weapons handover roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
音量
$752,051終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain a fragile October 2025 ceasefire while conducting targeted airstrikes and limited incursions against Hamas operatives in Gaza, amid stalled talks on Phase 2 disarmament and withdrawal. Netanyahu has directed expansion of the Yellow Line to roughly 60-70% of the territory for security reasons and rejected phased pullbacks without full Hamas disarmament, even as US envoys including Kushner pressed for de-escalation in mid-August meetings. Hamas has signaled willingness to transfer heavy weapons under a technocratic administration but conditions it on Israeli withdrawal, creating a deadlock that sustains low-level operations without triggering a broader ground offensive. Recent strikes near civilian areas and warnings over drone activity underscore persistent tensions, with diplomats tracking implementation of any stabilization force or weapons handover roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$752,051終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces maintain a fragile October 2025 ceasefire while conducting targeted airstrikes and limited incursions against Hamas operatives in Gaza, amid stalled talks on Phase 2 disarmament and withdrawal. Netanyahu has directed expansion of the Yellow Line to roughly 60-70% of the territory for security reasons and rejected phased pullbacks without full Hamas disarmament, even as US envoys including Kushner pressed for de-escalation in mid-August meetings. Hamas has signaled willingness to transfer heavy weapons under a technocratic administration but conditions it on Israeli withdrawal, creating a deadlock that sustains low-level operations without triggering a broader ground offensive. Recent strikes near civilian areas and warnings over drone activity underscore persistent tensions, with diplomats tracking implementation of any stabilization force or weapons handover roadmap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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