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icon for ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?

ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?

icon for ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?

ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?

$194,666 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$194,666 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$85,913 Vol.

1%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu has confirmed his candidacy to lead Likud in Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with no public statements or actions signaling withdrawal. Recent polling shows his coalition bloc hovering near or below the 61-seat majority threshold, trailing or closely contested by Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and other opposition groups amid voter concerns over security, coalition legislation, and governance. Netanyahu has emphasized ongoing military operations against regional threats and last-minute legislative moves to shore up his base, while rivals highlight his post-October 2023 record. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any announced exit and the low historical precedent for an incumbent prime minister stepping aside weeks before a scheduled vote, though late developments in coalition negotiations or polling shifts could still influence positioning.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$194,666
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu has confirmed his candidacy to lead Likud in Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with no public statements or actions signaling withdrawal. Recent polling shows his coalition bloc hovering near or below the 61-seat majority threshold, trailing or closely contested by Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and other opposition groups amid voter concerns over security, coalition legislation, and governance. Netanyahu has emphasized ongoing military operations against regional threats and last-minute legislative moves to shore up his base, while rivals highlight his post-October 2023 record. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any announced exit and the low historical precedent for an incumbent prime minister stepping aside weeks before a scheduled vote, though late developments in coalition negotiations or polling shifts could still influence positioning.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$194,666
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月30日」で1%、次いで「7月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?」は$194.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ネタニヤフがイスラエルの選挙から脱退するのは... ?」の現在のリーダーは「9月30日」でわずか1%、「7月31日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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