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icon for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

icon for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

11% 確率
Polymarket
新規
11% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has held Lebanon’s premiership since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence and has focused on postwar reconstruction, financial reforms, and implementation of the Israel ceasefire framework. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in southern Lebanon visits, diplomatic coordination with the United States on withdrawal timetables, and measures to assert state authority, including earlier bans on unauthorized military activity. Parliamentary elections originally slated for May 2026 were postponed to 2028 amid security conditions tied to regional escalation, extending the current government’s mandate without triggering automatic leadership changes or coalition rupture. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major parliamentary challenges have emerged, supporting trader consensus that Salam is likely to complete the year in office.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,148
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has held Lebanon’s premiership since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence and has focused on postwar reconstruction, financial reforms, and implementation of the Israel ceasefire framework. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in southern Lebanon visits, diplomatic coordination with the United States on withdrawal timetables, and measures to assert state authority, including earlier bans on unauthorized military activity. Parliamentary elections originally slated for May 2026 were postponed to 2028 amid security conditions tied to regional escalation, extending the current government’s mandate without triggering automatic leadership changes or coalition rupture. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major parliamentary challenges have emerged, supporting trader consensus that Salam is likely to complete the year in office.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,148
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。例えば、「はい」が11¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を11%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 20, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して11%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を11%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。