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icon for 2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?

2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?

icon for 2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?

2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?

はい

89% 確率
Polymarket

$150,739 Vol.

はい

89% 確率
Polymarket

$150,739 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aziz Akhannouch’s January 2026 decision not to seek another term as leader of the National Rally of Independents or contest the September 23 parliamentary elections has established the primary driver behind current trader positioning. Under Morocco’s constitutional process, the King appoints the prime minister from the party securing the most seats in the House of Representatives, making Akhannouch’s withdrawal from both party leadership and the ballot a structural barrier to his continued tenure. His party subsequently selected Mohamed Chaouki as its new president in February, further embedding the leadership transition ahead of the vote. With no major political reversals or royal interventions reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects broad consensus that post-election government formation will occur under new leadership by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$150,739
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aziz Akhannouch’s January 2026 decision not to seek another term as leader of the National Rally of Independents or contest the September 23 parliamentary elections has established the primary driver behind current trader positioning. Under Morocco’s constitutional process, the King appoints the prime minister from the party securing the most seats in the House of Representatives, making Akhannouch’s withdrawal from both party leadership and the ballot a structural barrier to his continued tenure. His party subsequently selected Mohamed Chaouki as its new president in February, further embedding the leadership transition ahead of the vote. With no major political reversals or royal interventions reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects broad consensus that post-election government formation will occur under new leadership by year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$150,739
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アジズ・アハンヌーシュは2026年12月31日までにモロッコの首相を退任するか?」で89%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?」は$150.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 3, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アジズ・アハンヌーシュは2026年12月31日までにモロッコの首相を退任するか?」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年12月31日までにアジズ・アハヌーシュがモロッコ首相に就任?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。