US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid heightened tensions over narcoterrorism and regional instability, marking the initial intervention referenced in the market. Since then, no further US military entries have occurred, with relations stabilizing through diplomatic measures: sanctions relief on acting President Delcy Rodríguez in April, resumption of direct US flights, deployment of over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to facilitate elections, and Venezuela emerging as the second-largest US oil supplier. Absent new escalations like election violence or proxy threats, trader consensus reflects low probability of re-entry, prioritizing transition support over military action. No notable developments in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,298,246 Vol.
2026/01/31
6月30日
6%
$1,298,246 Vol.
6月30日
$213,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid heightened tensions over narcoterrorism and regional instability, marking the initial intervention referenced in the market. Since then, no further US military entries have occurred, with relations stabilizing through diplomatic measures: sanctions relief on acting President Delcy Rodríguez in April, resumption of direct US flights, deployment of over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to facilitate elections, and Venezuela emerging as the second-largest US oil supplier. Absent new escalations like election violence or proxy threats, trader consensus reflects low probability of re-entry, prioritizing transition support over military action. No notable developments in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
音量
$1,298,246終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid heightened tensions over narcoterrorism and regional instability, marking the initial intervention referenced in the market. Since then, no further US military entries have occurred, with relations stabilizing through diplomatic measures: sanctions relief on acting President Delcy Rodríguez in April, resumption of direct US flights, deployment of over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to facilitate elections, and Venezuela emerging as the second-largest US oil supplier. Absent new escalations like election violence or proxy threats, trader consensus reflects low probability of re-entry, prioritizing transition support over military action. No notable developments in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,298,246終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing President Nicolás Maduro amid heightened tensions over narcoterrorism and regional instability, marking the initial intervention referenced in the market. Since then, no further US military entries have occurred, with relations stabilizing through diplomatic measures: sanctions relief on acting President Delcy Rodríguez in April, resumption of direct US flights, deployment of over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to facilitate elections, and Venezuela emerging as the second-largest US oil supplier. Absent new escalations like election violence or proxy threats, trader consensus reflects low probability of re-entry, prioritizing transition support over military action. No notable developments in the past 30 days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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