Trader consensus heavily favors no authorization of a US military draft in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional bills or executive actions proposing conscription reinstatement amid an all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent April announcements of automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26—mandated in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed last December—sparked brief confusion but explicitly streamline preparedness without activating a draft. Just yesterday, bipartisan senators introduced legislation to abolish Selective Service entirely, signaling strong institutional opposition. While recruitment shortfalls persist, no national emergency or floor votes loom to shift this; major escalation in conflicts like Iran or Taiwan would be needed to alter odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$251,426 Vol.
$251,426 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$251,426 Vol.
$251,426 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no authorization of a US military draft in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional bills or executive actions proposing conscription reinstatement amid an all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent April announcements of automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26—mandated in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed last December—sparked brief confusion but explicitly streamline preparedness without activating a draft. Just yesterday, bipartisan senators introduced legislation to abolish Selective Service entirely, signaling strong institutional opposition. While recruitment shortfalls persist, no national emergency or floor votes loom to shift this; major escalation in conflicts like Iran or Taiwan would be needed to alter odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
音量
$251,426終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no authorization of a US military draft in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional bills or executive actions proposing conscription reinstatement amid an all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent April announcements of automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26—mandated in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed last December—sparked brief confusion but explicitly streamline preparedness without activating a draft. Just yesterday, bipartisan senators introduced legislation to abolish Selective Service entirely, signaling strong institutional opposition. While recruitment shortfalls persist, no national emergency or floor votes loom to shift this; major escalation in conflicts like Iran or Taiwan would be needed to alter odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$251,426終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no authorization of a US military draft in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional bills or executive actions proposing conscription reinstatement amid an all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent April announcements of automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-26—mandated in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed last December—sparked brief confusion but explicitly streamline preparedness without activating a draft. Just yesterday, bipartisan senators introduced legislation to abolish Selective Service entirely, signaling strong institutional opposition. While recruitment shortfalls persist, no national emergency or floor votes loom to shift this; major escalation in conflicts like Iran or Taiwan would be needed to alter odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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