Recent diplomatic activity centers on indirect US-Iran channels mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing Iran's nuclear program under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. President Trump stated in early August that direct talks would resume imminently after pausing planned strikes, describing it as Tehran's last chance for a deal, while Iranian officials denied immediate plans for bilateral negotiations and emphasized discussions with Oman. Technical talks occurred in June, but fighting over Hormuz access has persisted amid fragile pauses in hostilities. Mediators continue shuttle efforts to schedule further rounds before the August 31 deadline, though mixed public signals and unresolved issues such as sanctions relief and enrichment limits create uncertainty around high-level attendance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$75,472 Vol.
2026/08/31
ニック・スチュワート
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
31%
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
20%
Steve Witkoff
18%
Abbas Araghchi
17%
イシャク・ダール
11%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
J.D.バンス
7%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
ドナルド・トランプ
3%
マルコ・ルビオ
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
50%
$75,472 Vol.
ニック・スチュワート
$10 Vol.
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,015 Vol.
31%
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
$2,599 Vol.
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$9,817 Vol.
20%
ジャレッド・クシュナー
$11,360 Vol.
20%
Steve Witkoff
$9,897 Vol.
18%
Abbas Araghchi
$7,017 Vol.
17%
イシャク・ダール
$2,382 Vol.
11%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Vol.
10%
J.D.バンス
$6,240 Vol.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 Vol.
5%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Vol.
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Vol.
4%
Esmail Qaani
$360 Vol.
3%
ドナルド・トランプ
$5,417 Vol.
3%
マルコ・ルビオ
$7,533 Vol.
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic activity centers on indirect US-Iran channels mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing Iran's nuclear program under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. President Trump stated in early August that direct talks would resume imminently after pausing planned strikes, describing it as Tehran's last chance for a deal, while Iranian officials denied immediate plans for bilateral negotiations and emphasized discussions with Oman. Technical talks occurred in June, but fighting over Hormuz access has persisted amid fragile pauses in hostilities. Mediators continue shuttle efforts to schedule further rounds before the August 31 deadline, though mixed public signals and unresolved issues such as sanctions relief and enrichment limits create uncertainty around high-level attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
音量
$75,472終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic activity centers on indirect US-Iran channels mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing Iran's nuclear program under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. President Trump stated in early August that direct talks would resume imminently after pausing planned strikes, describing it as Tehran's last chance for a deal, while Iranian officials denied immediate plans for bilateral negotiations and emphasized discussions with Oman. Technical talks occurred in June, but fighting over Hormuz access has persisted amid fragile pauses in hostilities. Mediators continue shuttle efforts to schedule further rounds before the August 31 deadline, though mixed public signals and unresolved issues such as sanctions relief and enrichment limits create uncertainty around high-level attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$75,472終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic activity centers on indirect US-Iran channels mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing Iran's nuclear program under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. President Trump stated in early August that direct talks would resume imminently after pausing planned strikes, describing it as Tehran's last chance for a deal, while Iranian officials denied immediate plans for bilateral negotiations and emphasized discussions with Oman. Technical talks occurred in June, but fighting over Hormuz access has persisted amid fragile pauses in hostilities. Mediators continue shuttle efforts to schedule further rounds before the August 31 deadline, though mixed public signals and unresolved issues such as sanctions relief and enrichment limits create uncertainty around high-level attendance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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