The US administration has maintained consistent opposition to any fees, tolls, or reimbursements for transit or security in the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway where UNCLOS principles support free passage. President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement in July 2026 before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, citing fairness for US security costs amid Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance have reiterated that no country should charge for passage, aligning with the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum's 60-day toll-free window and subsequent negotiations involving Oman. Escalating attacks and blockades have raised shipping risks without shifting Washington toward implementation. Traders assign low probability to US collection by year-end due to these policy signals, legal objections, and preference for diplomatic or military alternatives over direct levies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$983,541 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
6%
$983,541 Vol.
12月31日
$115,237 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US administration has maintained consistent opposition to any fees, tolls, or reimbursements for transit or security in the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway where UNCLOS principles support free passage. President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement in July 2026 before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, citing fairness for US security costs amid Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance have reiterated that no country should charge for passage, aligning with the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum's 60-day toll-free window and subsequent negotiations involving Oman. Escalating attacks and blockades have raised shipping risks without shifting Washington toward implementation. Traders assign low probability to US collection by year-end due to these policy signals, legal objections, and preference for diplomatic or military alternatives over direct levies.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
音量
$983,541終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US administration has maintained consistent opposition to any fees, tolls, or reimbursements for transit or security in the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway where UNCLOS principles support free passage. President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement in July 2026 before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, citing fairness for US security costs amid Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance have reiterated that no country should charge for passage, aligning with the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum's 60-day toll-free window and subsequent negotiations involving Oman. Escalating attacks and blockades have raised shipping risks without shifting Washington toward implementation. Traders assign low probability to US collection by year-end due to these policy signals, legal objections, and preference for diplomatic or military alternatives over direct levies.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$983,541終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The US administration has maintained consistent opposition to any fees, tolls, or reimbursements for transit or security in the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway where UNCLOS principles support free passage. President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement in July 2026 before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, citing fairness for US security costs amid Iran tensions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance have reiterated that no country should charge for passage, aligning with the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum's 60-day toll-free window and subsequent negotiations involving Oman. Escalating attacks and blockades have raised shipping risks without shifting Washington toward implementation. Traders assign low probability to US collection by year-end due to these policy signals, legal objections, and preference for diplomatic or military alternatives over direct levies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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