Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his top position in March polling, dominant fundraising with nearly $1 million more than rivals, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in mid-April citing inability to compete financially. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds second at 15.5% amid a Young Democrats endorsement and claims of narrowing the gap in informed voter tests, while Liban Mohamed's 7.8% reflects his narrow April 25 state convention upset over McAdams via ranked-choice voting among delegates, though primary voters in Utah's open system—including potential Republican crossover—may favor McAdams' name recognition and moderate record in the blue-leaning district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ベン・マカダムズ 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
リバン・モハメド 7.7%
エリン・メンデンホール <1%
$29,880 Vol.
$29,880 Vol.
ベン・マカダムズ
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
リバン・モハメド
8%
エリン・メンデンホール
<1%
ルス・エスカミーリャ
<1%
キャロライン・グライヒ
<1%
ブライアン・キング
<1%
キャスリーン・リーベ
<1%
マイケル・ファレル
<1%
ケール・ウェストン
<1%
ジェニー・ウィルソン
<1%
ベン・マカダムズ 77%
Nate Blouin 16%
リバン・モハメド 7.7%
エリン・メンデンホール <1%
$29,880 Vol.
$29,880 Vol.
ベン・マカダムズ
77%
Nate Blouin
16%
リバン・モハメド
8%
エリン・メンデンホール
<1%
ルス・エスカミーリャ
<1%
キャロライン・グライヒ
<1%
ブライアン・キング
<1%
キャスリーン・リーベ
<1%
マイケル・ファレル
<1%
ケール・ウェストン
<1%
ジェニー・ウィルソン
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his top position in March polling, dominant fundraising with nearly $1 million more than rivals, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in mid-April citing inability to compete financially. State Sen. Nate Blouin holds second at 15.5% amid a Young Democrats endorsement and claims of narrowing the gap in informed voter tests, while Liban Mohamed's 7.8% reflects his narrow April 25 state convention upset over McAdams via ranked-choice voting among delegates, though primary voters in Utah's open system—including potential Republican crossover—may favor McAdams' name recognition and moderate record in the blue-leaning district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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