Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary reflects verified election-night results from June 23, 2026, when he captured roughly two-thirds of the vote against incumbent Representative Dan Goldman. Pre-primary polling, including an Emerson survey showing Lander ahead by 34 points, aligned with turnout patterns favoring the former New York City comptroller in a heavily Democratic district spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Lander’s campaign drew support from progressive networks and built on his citywide profile, while Goldman faced headwinds as one of several incumbents challenged that cycle. With final certified tallies confirming a margin exceeding 30 points, trader consensus on a Lander 30%+ outcome stands at 98.5%. Late-arriving absentee or provisional ballots, or an unusually prolonged official canvass, remain the only narrow procedural avenues that could theoretically alter the recorded spread, though historical precedent in New York primaries makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランダー 30％超 98.4%
ランダー <10% 2.9%
ランダー 20〜30% 2.8%
ランダー 10～20％ <1%
$75,531 Vol.
$75,531 Vol.
2026/06/23
ランダー 30％超
98%
ランダー 20〜30%
3%
ランダー 10～20％
<1%
ランダー <10%
3%
その他
<1%
ランダー 30％超 98.4%
ランダー <10% 2.9%
ランダー 20〜30% 2.8%
ランダー 10～20％ <1%
$75,531 Vol.
$75,531 Vol.
2026/06/23
ランダー 30％超
$47,004 Vol.
98%
ランダー 20〜30%
$9,382 Vol.
3%
ランダー 10～20％
$12,598 Vol.
<1%
ランダー <10%
$3,360 Vol.
3%
その他
$2,075 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary reflects verified election-night results from June 23, 2026, when he captured roughly two-thirds of the vote against incumbent Representative Dan Goldman. Pre-primary polling, including an Emerson survey showing Lander ahead by 34 points, aligned with turnout patterns favoring the former New York City comptroller in a heavily Democratic district spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Lander’s campaign drew support from progressive networks and built on his citywide profile, while Goldman faced headwinds as one of several incumbents challenged that cycle. With final certified tallies confirming a margin exceeding 30 points, trader consensus on a Lander 30%+ outcome stands at 98.5%. Late-arriving absentee or provisional ballots, or an unusually prolonged official canvass, remain the only narrow procedural avenues that could theoretically alter the recorded spread, though historical precedent in New York primaries makes such shifts improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
音量
$75,531終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary reflects verified election-night results from June 23, 2026, when he captured roughly two-thirds of the vote against incumbent Representative Dan Goldman. Pre-primary polling, including an Emerson survey showing Lander ahead by 34 points, aligned with turnout patterns favoring the former New York City comptroller in a heavily Democratic district spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Lander’s campaign drew support from progressive networks and built on his citywide profile, while Goldman faced headwinds as one of several incumbents challenged that cycle. With final certified tallies confirming a margin exceeding 30 points, trader consensus on a Lander 30%+ outcome stands at 98.5%. Late-arriving absentee or provisional ballots, or an unusually prolonged official canvass, remain the only narrow procedural avenues that could theoretically alter the recorded spread, though historical precedent in New York primaries makes such shifts improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$75,531終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary reflects verified election-night results from June 23, 2026, when he captured roughly two-thirds of the vote against incumbent Representative Dan Goldman. Pre-primary polling, including an Emerson survey showing Lander ahead by 34 points, aligned with turnout patterns favoring the former New York City comptroller in a heavily Democratic district spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Lander’s campaign drew support from progressive networks and built on his citywide profile, while Goldman faced headwinds as one of several incumbents challenged that cycle. With final certified tallies confirming a margin exceeding 30 points, trader consensus on a Lander 30%+ outcome stands at 98.5%. Late-arriving absentee or provisional ballots, or an unusually prolonged official canvass, remain the only narrow procedural avenues that could theoretically alter the recorded spread, though historical precedent in New York primaries makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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