The NY-10 Democratic primary, set for June 23, pits incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman against challenger Brad Lander in a deep-blue district covering parts of Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan. Recent Emerson polling showed Lander ahead by 34 points, driven by strong support among younger voters and endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, while Goldman holds backing from Gov. Kathy Hochul and advantages in fundraising. Tensions over AIPAC involvement and foreign policy differences have sharpened the contest. With the vote days away, trader consensus on victory margins remains balanced across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over turnout, late undecided voters, and potential shifts in key progressive and establishment blocs that could determine the final spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ランダー 30％超 68%
ランダー 20〜30% 17%
ランダー 10～20％ 14%
ランダー <10% 3.3%
新規
新規
2026/06/23
ランダー 30％超
68%
ランダー 20〜30%
17%
ランダー 10～20％
14%
ランダー <10%
3%
ゴールドマンが勝利
1%
その他
1%
ランダー 30％超 68%
ランダー 20〜30% 17%
ランダー 10～20％ 14%
ランダー <10% 3.3%
新規
新規
2026/06/23
ランダー 30％超
$962 Vol.
68%
ランダー 20〜30%
$156 Vol.
17%
ランダー 10～20％
$327 Vol.
14%
ランダー <10%
$155 Vol.
3%
ゴールドマンが勝利
$141 Vol.
1%
その他
$108 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The NY-10 Democratic primary, set for June 23, pits incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman against challenger Brad Lander in a deep-blue district covering parts of Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan. Recent Emerson polling showed Lander ahead by 34 points, driven by strong support among younger voters and endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, while Goldman holds backing from Gov. Kathy Hochul and advantages in fundraising. Tensions over AIPAC involvement and foreign policy differences have sharpened the contest. With the vote days away, trader consensus on victory margins remains balanced across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over turnout, late undecided voters, and potential shifts in key progressive and establishment blocs that could determine the final spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
音量
$1,849終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The NY-10 Democratic primary, set for June 23, pits incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman against challenger Brad Lander in a deep-blue district covering parts of Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan. Recent Emerson polling showed Lander ahead by 34 points, driven by strong support among younger voters and endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, while Goldman holds backing from Gov. Kathy Hochul and advantages in fundraising. Tensions over AIPAC involvement and foreign policy differences have sharpened the contest. With the vote days away, trader consensus on victory margins remains balanced across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over turnout, late undecided voters, and potential shifts in key progressive and establishment blocs that could determine the final spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$1,849終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The NY-10 Democratic primary, set for June 23, pits incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman against challenger Brad Lander in a deep-blue district covering parts of Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan. Recent Emerson polling showed Lander ahead by 34 points, driven by strong support among younger voters and endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, while Goldman holds backing from Gov. Kathy Hochul and advantages in fundraising. Tensions over AIPAC involvement and foreign policy differences have sharpened the contest. With the vote days away, trader consensus on victory margins remains balanced across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over turnout, late undecided voters, and potential shifts in key progressive and establishment blocs that could determine the final spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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