Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by a narrow margin confirmed in initial tallies at roughly 3–4 percentage points. Strong backing from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations helped mobilize younger and college-educated voters, while Espaillat retained support among lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Incomplete returns and the district’s competitive turnout patterns have kept final certified results within a tight range, aligning trader consensus on a sub-5% victory. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots could still alter the precise spread before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アビラ・シュヴァリエ <5％ 95.9%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 5〜10％ 3.6%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 10％以上 3.5%
その他 <1%
$89,615 Vol.
$89,615 Vol.
2026/06/23
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 10％以上
3%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 5〜10％
4%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ <5％
96%
その他
<1%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ <5％ 95.9%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 5〜10％ 3.6%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 10％以上 3.5%
その他 <1%
$89,615 Vol.
$89,615 Vol.
2026/06/23
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 10％以上
$5,976 Vol.
3%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ 5〜10％
$7,496 Vol.
4%
アビラ・シュヴァリエ <5％
$21,679 Vol.
96%
その他
$2,194 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by a narrow margin confirmed in initial tallies at roughly 3–4 percentage points. Strong backing from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations helped mobilize younger and college-educated voters, while Espaillat retained support among lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Incomplete returns and the district’s competitive turnout patterns have kept final certified results within a tight range, aligning trader consensus on a sub-5% victory. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots could still alter the precise spread before market resolution.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ET
音量
$89,615終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by a narrow margin confirmed in initial tallies at roughly 3–4 percentage points. Strong backing from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations helped mobilize younger and college-educated voters, while Espaillat retained support among lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Incomplete returns and the district’s competitive turnout patterns have kept final certified results within a tight range, aligning trader consensus on a sub-5% victory. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots could still alter the precise spread before market resolution.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$89,615終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by a narrow margin confirmed in initial tallies at roughly 3–4 percentage points. Strong backing from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations helped mobilize younger and college-educated voters, while Espaillat retained support among lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Incomplete returns and the district’s competitive turnout patterns have kept final certified results within a tight range, aligning trader consensus on a sub-5% victory. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots could still alter the precise spread before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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