Zohran Mamdani took office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 election victory that delivered a clear mandate. Since then, the administration has focused on policy priorities such as housing affordability and municipal services without major scandals, ethics probes, or organized recall efforts surfacing in recent months. This stable early tenure, combined with the structural barriers to removal under city charter rules, underpins the market's 95.5% probability on "No." Realistic shifts before 2027 remain possible through sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or voluntary resignation amid unforeseen crises, though none currently appear imminent based on available information.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？
Zohran Mamdani氏が2027年までにニューヨーク市長に就任？
はい
5% 確率
$70,043 Vol.
$70,043 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
5% 確率
$70,043 Vol.
$70,043 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani took office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 election victory that delivered a clear mandate. Since then, the administration has focused on policy priorities such as housing affordability and municipal services without major scandals, ethics probes, or organized recall efforts surfacing in recent months. This stable early tenure, combined with the structural barriers to removal under city charter rules, underpins the market's 95.5% probability on "No." Realistic shifts before 2027 remain possible through sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or voluntary resignation amid unforeseen crises, though none currently appear imminent based on available information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
音量
$70,043終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani took office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 election victory that delivered a clear mandate. Since then, the administration has focused on policy priorities such as housing affordability and municipal services without major scandals, ethics probes, or organized recall efforts surfacing in recent months. This stable early tenure, combined with the structural barriers to removal under city charter rules, underpins the market's 95.5% probability on "No." Realistic shifts before 2027 remain possible through sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or voluntary resignation amid unforeseen crises, though none currently appear imminent based on available information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$70,043終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani took office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 election victory that delivered a clear mandate. Since then, the administration has focused on policy priorities such as housing affordability and municipal services without major scandals, ethics probes, or organized recall efforts surfacing in recent months. This stable early tenure, combined with the structural barriers to removal under city charter rules, underpins the market's 95.5% probability on "No." Realistic shifts before 2027 remain possible through sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or voluntary resignation amid unforeseen crises, though none currently appear imminent based on available information.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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