Zohran Mamdani’s brief music career as Mr. Cardamom (or Young Cardamom) peaked in the mid-2010s with a multilingual EP and tracks like “#1 Spice,” after which he pivoted fully to politics. As New York City mayor since late 2025, his public profile centers on governance and affordability issues rather than new releases, with traders seeing his old catalog’s 2025 streaming surge as a one-time nostalgia play rather than a sign of renewed artistic activity. A rumored 2025 feature was quickly debunked, reinforcing the view that his rap output remains in the past. With no announced projects, studio sessions, or promotional hints in 2026 and his schedule dominated by city leadership, the market assigns the “No” outcome a 72% implied probability, reflecting the long odds of a sitting mayor returning to recording.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
10% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
10% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief music career as Mr. Cardamom (or Young Cardamom) peaked in the mid-2010s with a multilingual EP and tracks like “#1 Spice,” after which he pivoted fully to politics. As New York City mayor since late 2025, his public profile centers on governance and affordability issues rather than new releases, with traders seeing his old catalog’s 2025 streaming surge as a one-time nostalgia play rather than a sign of renewed artistic activity. A rumored 2025 feature was quickly debunked, reinforcing the view that his rap output remains in the past. With no announced projects, studio sessions, or promotional hints in 2026 and his schedule dominated by city leadership, the market assigns the “No” outcome a 72% implied probability, reflecting the long odds of a sitting mayor returning to recording.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$116終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief music career as Mr. Cardamom (or Young Cardamom) peaked in the mid-2010s with a multilingual EP and tracks like “#1 Spice,” after which he pivoted fully to politics. As New York City mayor since late 2025, his public profile centers on governance and affordability issues rather than new releases, with traders seeing his old catalog’s 2025 streaming surge as a one-time nostalgia play rather than a sign of renewed artistic activity. A rumored 2025 feature was quickly debunked, reinforcing the view that his rap output remains in the past. With no announced projects, studio sessions, or promotional hints in 2026 and his schedule dominated by city leadership, the market assigns the “No” outcome a 72% implied probability, reflecting the long odds of a sitting mayor returning to recording.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
音量
$116終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani’s brief music career as Mr. Cardamom (or Young Cardamom) peaked in the mid-2010s with a multilingual EP and tracks like “#1 Spice,” after which he pivoted fully to politics. As New York City mayor since late 2025, his public profile centers on governance and affordability issues rather than new releases, with traders seeing his old catalog’s 2025 streaming surge as a one-time nostalgia play rather than a sign of renewed artistic activity. A rumored 2025 feature was quickly debunked, reinforcing the view that his rap output remains in the past. With no announced projects, studio sessions, or promotional hints in 2026 and his schedule dominated by city leadership, the market assigns the “No” outcome a 72% implied probability, reflecting the long odds of a sitting mayor returning to recording.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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