Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead in the market for Berlin's next governing mayor ahead of the September 20, 2026 state election, reflecting trader views on the fragmented field. Recent developments include the July withdrawal of incumbent Kai Wegner and the CDU's swift nomination of Finance Senator Stefan Evers as replacement lead candidate, which has kept CDU prospects competitive but not dominant. Polling trends show Die Linke, CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties, underscoring coalition math and the absence of a clear frontrunner. Low probabilities for candidates like Steffen Krach and Kristin Brinker align with their parties' current seat shares and limited momentum. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Elif Eralp 52%
Stefan Evers 29%
Werner Graf 20%
Kristin Brinker 3.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
Elif Eralp
52%
Stefan Evers
29%
Werner Graf
20%
Kristin Brinker
4%
Steffen Krach
2%
Elif Eralp 52%
Stefan Evers 29%
Werner Graf 20%
Kristin Brinker 3.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
Elif Eralp
$2,305 Vol.
52%
Stefan Evers
$2,394 Vol.
29%
Werner Graf
$1,067 Vol.
20%
Kristin Brinker
$200 Vol.
4%
Steffen Krach
$162 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead in the market for Berlin's next governing mayor ahead of the September 20, 2026 state election, reflecting trader views on the fragmented field. Recent developments include the July withdrawal of incumbent Kai Wegner and the CDU's swift nomination of Finance Senator Stefan Evers as replacement lead candidate, which has kept CDU prospects competitive but not dominant. Polling trends show Die Linke, CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties, underscoring coalition math and the absence of a clear frontrunner. Low probabilities for candidates like Steffen Krach and Kristin Brinker align with their parties' current seat shares and limited momentum. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
音量
$6,128終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead in the market for Berlin's next governing mayor ahead of the September 20, 2026 state election, reflecting trader views on the fragmented field. Recent developments include the July withdrawal of incumbent Kai Wegner and the CDU's swift nomination of Finance Senator Stefan Evers as replacement lead candidate, which has kept CDU prospects competitive but not dominant. Polling trends show Die Linke, CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties, underscoring coalition math and the absence of a clear frontrunner. Low probabilities for candidates like Steffen Krach and Kristin Brinker align with their parties' current seat shares and limited momentum. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,128終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead in the market for Berlin's next governing mayor ahead of the September 20, 2026 state election, reflecting trader views on the fragmented field. Recent developments include the July withdrawal of incumbent Kai Wegner and the CDU's swift nomination of Finance Senator Stefan Evers as replacement lead candidate, which has kept CDU prospects competitive but not dominant. Polling trends show Die Linke, CDU, SPD, Greens, and AfD clustered in the high teens to low twenties, underscoring coalition math and the absence of a clear frontrunner. Low probabilities for candidates like Steffen Krach and Kristin Brinker align with their parties' current seat shares and limited momentum. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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