The next Berlin state election on 20 September 2026 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus and the parties forming the subsequent coalition government. The incumbent CDU-SPD administration under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from criticism over its response to last winter’s extended power outage and related disruptions. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD each polling in the mid-teens, projecting no outright majority and multiple possible governing combinations that typically exclude the AfD. Traders are therefore monitoring coalition-formation signals, candidate positioning, and any late shifts in voter turnout or issue salience ahead of election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
グリューネ
88%
SPD
85%
リンク
54%
CDU
42%
AfD
6%
FDP
5%
FW
4%
BSW
4%
$2,894 Vol.
グリューネ
$83 Vol.
88%
SPD
$104 Vol.
85%
リンク
$339 Vol.
54%
CDU
$271 Vol.
42%
AfD
$1,098 Vol.
6%
FDP
$146 Vol.
5%
FW
$573 Vol.
4%
BSW
$280 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The next Berlin state election on 20 September 2026 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus and the parties forming the subsequent coalition government. The incumbent CDU-SPD administration under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from criticism over its response to last winter’s extended power outage and related disruptions. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD each polling in the mid-teens, projecting no outright majority and multiple possible governing combinations that typically exclude the AfD. Traders are therefore monitoring coalition-formation signals, candidate positioning, and any late shifts in voter turnout or issue salience ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
音量
$2,894終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The next Berlin state election on 20 September 2026 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus and the parties forming the subsequent coalition government. The incumbent CDU-SPD administration under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from criticism over its response to last winter’s extended power outage and related disruptions. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD each polling in the mid-teens, projecting no outright majority and multiple possible governing combinations that typically exclude the AfD. Traders are therefore monitoring coalition-formation signals, candidate positioning, and any late shifts in voter turnout or issue salience ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
音量
$2,894終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The next Berlin state election on 20 September 2026 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus and the parties forming the subsequent coalition government. The incumbent CDU-SPD administration under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from criticism over its response to last winter’s extended power outage and related disruptions. Recent polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD each polling in the mid-teens, projecting no outright majority and multiple possible governing combinations that typically exclude the AfD. Traders are therefore monitoring coalition-formation signals, candidate positioning, and any late shifts in voter turnout or issue salience ahead of election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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