The 2026 Quebec general election, called for October 5, features a tight contest in the Jean-Lesage riding between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve, recently announced after serving as the PQ's communications director and in prior municipal roles. Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, reflecting vote splits among CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates that limit any single party's margin. Villeneuve's entry has bolstered PQ positioning in a riding where QS previously outperformed provincial trends, while broader campaign dynamics around sovereignty, immigration, and party leadership transitions keep the outcome closely contested until nomination deadlines and final polling clarify voter preferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ソル・ザネッティ 50%
クロード・ヴィルヌーヴ 50%
ナタリー・サンピエール 28%
ナンシー・ジョアネット 27%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
ソル・ザネッティ
50%
クロード・ヴィルヌーヴ
50%
ナタリー・サンピエール
28%
ナンシー・ジョアネット
27%
ジェルトリュード・ブルドン
25%
ソル・ザネッティ 50%
クロード・ヴィルヌーヴ 50%
ナタリー・サンピエール 28%
ナンシー・ジョアネット 27%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
ソル・ザネッティ
$0 Vol.
50%
クロード・ヴィルヌーヴ
$0 Vol.
50%
ナタリー・サンピエール
$0 Vol.
28%
ナンシー・ジョアネット
$0 Vol.
27%
ジェルトリュード・ブルドン
$0 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election, called for October 5, features a tight contest in the Jean-Lesage riding between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve, recently announced after serving as the PQ's communications director and in prior municipal roles. Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, reflecting vote splits among CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates that limit any single party's margin. Villeneuve's entry has bolstered PQ positioning in a riding where QS previously outperformed provincial trends, while broader campaign dynamics around sovereignty, immigration, and party leadership transitions keep the outcome closely contested until nomination deadlines and final polling clarify voter preferences.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election, called for October 5, features a tight contest in the Jean-Lesage riding between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve, recently announced after serving as the PQ's communications director and in prior municipal roles. Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, reflecting vote splits among CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates that limit any single party's margin. Villeneuve's entry has bolstered PQ positioning in a riding where QS previously outperformed provincial trends, while broader campaign dynamics around sovereignty, immigration, and party leadership transitions keep the outcome closely contested until nomination deadlines and final polling clarify voter preferences.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETThe 2026 Quebec general election, called for October 5, features a tight contest in the Jean-Lesage riding between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve, recently announced after serving as the PQ's communications director and in prior municipal roles. Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up between QS and PQ, reflecting vote splits among CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates that limit any single party's margin. Villeneuve's entry has bolstered PQ positioning in a riding where QS previously outperformed provincial trends, while broader campaign dynamics around sovereignty, immigration, and party leadership transitions keep the outcome closely contested until nomination deadlines and final polling clarify voter preferences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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