Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA who captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election, holds the leading market position amid a projected toss-up with Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. The urban district’s left-leaning electorate and priorities around housing, immigration, and social services favor the sitting member, whose profile includes parliamentary work on cohabitation rules and the Programme de l’expérience québécoise. Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 treat the race as closely contested between QS and PLQ, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing. The October 5, 2026 general election campaign, launched August 27, features a short window ending nominations on September 17, where provincial party standings, local turnout, and early ground efforts could shift trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 68%
Benoit Clermont 30%
Anthony Lavoie 5.1%

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
68%

Benoit Clermont
30%

Anthony Lavoie
5%
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 68%
Benoit Clermont 30%
Anthony Lavoie 5.1%

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
68%

Benoit Clermont
30%

Anthony Lavoie
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA who captured the Montreal riding in the 2023 by-election, holds the leading market position amid a projected toss-up with Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont. The urban district’s left-leaning electorate and priorities around housing, immigration, and social services favor the sitting member, whose profile includes parliamentary work on cohabitation rules and the Programme de l’expérience québécoise. Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 treat the race as closely contested between QS and PLQ, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie trailing. The October 5, 2026 general election campaign, launched August 27, features a short window ending nominations on September 17, where provincial party standings, local turnout, and early ground efforts could shift trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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