The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5 with a new 127-riding map, keeps the Beauharnois contest tight due to a fragmented multi-party field. Incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) faces Alexandre Daneau (PQ, nominated after a June party vote), Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ), Angélika Homère (PCQ), and additional contenders including from Québec solidaire. No riding-specific polling has established a clear leader, and provincial trends show vote splitting among CAQ, PQ, Liberals, and Conservatives in the Montérégie region. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation until further campaign developments such as advance polls, debates, or regional polling aggregates can shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alexandre Daneau 44%
Claude Reid 44%
Angélika Homère 44%
Charles Royer Tremblay 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
Alexandre Daneau
44%
Claude Reid
44%
Angélika Homère
44%
Charles Royer Tremblay
44%
Alexandre Daneau 44%
Claude Reid 44%
Angélika Homère 44%
Charles Royer Tremblay 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
Alexandre Daneau
$0 Vol.
44%
Claude Reid
$0 Vol.
44%
Angélika Homère
$0 Vol.
44%
Charles Royer Tremblay
$0 Vol.
44%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5 with a new 127-riding map, keeps the Beauharnois contest tight due to a fragmented multi-party field. Incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) faces Alexandre Daneau (PQ, nominated after a June party vote), Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ), Angélika Homère (PCQ), and additional contenders including from Québec solidaire. No riding-specific polling has established a clear leader, and provincial trends show vote splitting among CAQ, PQ, Liberals, and Conservatives in the Montérégie region. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation until further campaign developments such as advance polls, debates, or regional polling aggregates can shift implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5 with a new 127-riding map, keeps the Beauharnois contest tight due to a fragmented multi-party field. Incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) faces Alexandre Daneau (PQ, nominated after a June party vote), Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ), Angélika Homère (PCQ), and additional contenders including from Québec solidaire. No riding-specific polling has established a clear leader, and provincial trends show vote splitting among CAQ, PQ, Liberals, and Conservatives in the Montérégie region. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation until further campaign developments such as advance polls, debates, or regional polling aggregates can shift implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ETThe 2026 Quebec general election campaign, called for October 5 with a new 127-riding map, keeps the Beauharnois contest tight due to a fragmented multi-party field. Incumbent Claude Reid (CAQ) faces Alexandre Daneau (PQ, nominated after a June party vote), Charles Royer Tremblay (PLQ), Angélika Homère (PCQ), and additional contenders including from Québec solidaire. No riding-specific polling has established a clear leader, and provincial trends show vote splitting among CAQ, PQ, Liberals, and Conservatives in the Montérégie region. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation until further campaign developments such as advance polls, debates, or regional polling aggregates can shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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