The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, launched August 27 with voting set for October 5, has turned Montarville into a tight contest between incumbent CAQ MNA and National Assembly president Nathalie Roy and PQ challenger Jean-François Cloutier. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the riding as a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ each holding roughly 30-39% support amid province-wide volatility following leadership changes in the governing party. Roy benefits from incumbency and name recognition in the South Shore suburban riding, while Cloutier's August entry as a prominent investigative journalist has boosted PQ visibility on sovereignty and governance issues. Lower-polling Liberal and Québec solidaire candidates add fragmentation without clear momentum. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with separation likely hinging on early campaign polling trends, candidate debates, or turnout shifts among francophone voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Jean-François Cloutier 43%
Nathalie Roy 43%
Mathieu Lavoie 26%
Ginette Langlois 26%
Jean-François Cloutier
43%
Nathalie Roy
43%
Mathieu Lavoie
26%
Ginette Langlois
26%
Jean-François Cloutier 43%
Nathalie Roy 43%
Mathieu Lavoie 26%
Ginette Langlois 26%
Jean-François Cloutier
43%
Nathalie Roy
43%
Mathieu Lavoie
26%
Ginette Langlois
26%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, launched August 27 with voting set for October 5, has turned Montarville into a tight contest between incumbent CAQ MNA and National Assembly president Nathalie Roy and PQ challenger Jean-François Cloutier. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the riding as a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ each holding roughly 30-39% support amid province-wide volatility following leadership changes in the governing party. Roy benefits from incumbency and name recognition in the South Shore suburban riding, while Cloutier's August entry as a prominent investigative journalist has boosted PQ visibility on sovereignty and governance issues. Lower-polling Liberal and Québec solidaire candidates add fragmentation without clear momentum. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with separation likely hinging on early campaign polling trends, candidate debates, or turnout shifts among francophone voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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