**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ 44%
ギー・ヴェイエット 44%
ローラン・ベリール 44%
シャルル・パカン 44%
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ
44%
ギー・ヴェイエット
44%
ローラン・ベリール
44%
シャルル・パカン
44%
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ 44%
ギー・ヴェイエット 44%
ローラン・ベリール 44%
シャルル・パカン 44%
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ
44%
ギー・ヴェイエット
44%
ローラン・ベリール
44%
シャルル・パカン
44%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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