Skip to main content
icon for MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·米国選挙

MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·米国選挙

MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

パトリック・ロース 53%

スティーブン・リンチ 45%

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

パトリック・ロース 53%

スティーブン・リンチ 45%

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

icon for パトリック・ロース

パトリック・ロース

$4,342 Vol.

53%

icon for スティーブン・リンチ

スティーブン・リンチ

$7,142 Vol.

45%

icon for アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク

アンドリュー・ジルバーフィンク

$1,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Massachusetts 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, set for September 1, remains closely contested between long-serving incumbent Stephen Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath due to Roath's targeted campaign against the 25-year veteran in a reliably Democratic seat. Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide, has emphasized progressive priorities including affordable housing and family costs while criticizing corporate PAC influence. Lynch has countered by highlighting his record on veterans and local issues and questioning Roath's prior work at a major law firm. A recent candidate forum featured mutual attacks on fundraising sources, underscoring the race's intensity. With limited time remaining before ballots close and only negligible support for the third candidate, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether incumbency or anti-incumbent momentum will prevail in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$12,906
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Massachusetts 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, set for September 1, remains closely contested between long-serving incumbent Stephen Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath due to Roath's targeted campaign against the 25-year veteran in a reliably Democratic seat. Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide, has emphasized progressive priorities including affordable housing and family costs while criticizing corporate PAC influence. Lynch has countered by highlighting his record on veterans and local issues and questioning Roath's prior work at a major law firm. A recent candidate forum featured mutual attacks on fundraising sources, underscoring the race's intensity. With limited time remaining before ballots close and only negligible support for the third candidate, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether incumbency or anti-incumbent momentum will prevail in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$12,906
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

関連

icon for Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?

Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?

98%
icon for ダン・コーはMA-06の民主党候補者になるでしょうか？

ダン・コーはMA-06の民主党候補者になるでしょうか？

79%
はい
icon for リチャード・ニールはMA-01の民主党候補者になりますか？

リチャード・ニールはMA-01の民主党候補者になりますか？

78%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「パトリック・ロース」で53%、次いで「スティーブン・リンチ」が45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$12.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「パトリック・ロース」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「スティーブン・リンチ」で45%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MA -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。