New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement and an incumbent governor seeking a second term. Polling averages show Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holding a modest lead over Republican John Sununu in the Senate contest, while Republican Kelly Ayotte maintains a clearer advantage over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington for governor. These trends support the leading trader consensus on a split outcome, with Republicans retaining the governorship and Democrats capturing the Senate. Recent surveys from late June and early July indicate the Senate race remains within single digits, consistent with historical New Hampshire patterns of ticket splitting. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave room for shifts in nominee strength or turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党が知事選勝利、民主党が上院選勝利 70%
民主党が圧勝 14%
共和党が全勝 11%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 1.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党が知事選勝利、民主党が上院選勝利
70%
民主党が圧勝
14%
共和党が全勝
11%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
1%
共和党が知事選勝利、民主党が上院選勝利 70%
民主党が圧勝 14%
共和党が全勝 11%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 1.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党が知事選勝利、民主党が上院選勝利
$1,818 Vol.
70%
民主党が圧勝
$1,292 Vol.
14%
共和党が全勝
$588 Vol.
11%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement and an incumbent governor seeking a second term. Polling averages show Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holding a modest lead over Republican John Sununu in the Senate contest, while Republican Kelly Ayotte maintains a clearer advantage over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington for governor. These trends support the leading trader consensus on a split outcome, with Republicans retaining the governorship and Democrats capturing the Senate. Recent surveys from late June and early July indicate the Senate race remains within single digits, consistent with historical New Hampshire patterns of ticket splitting. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave room for shifts in nominee strength or turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
音量
$3,736終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement and an incumbent governor seeking a second term. Polling averages show Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holding a modest lead over Republican John Sununu in the Senate contest, while Republican Kelly Ayotte maintains a clearer advantage over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington for governor. These trends support the leading trader consensus on a split outcome, with Republicans retaining the governorship and Democrats capturing the Senate. Recent surveys from late June and early July indicate the Senate race remains within single digits, consistent with historical New Hampshire patterns of ticket splitting. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave room for shifts in nominee strength or turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$3,736終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement and an incumbent governor seeking a second term. Polling averages show Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holding a modest lead over Republican John Sununu in the Senate contest, while Republican Kelly Ayotte maintains a clearer advantage over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington for governor. These trends support the leading trader consensus on a split outcome, with Republicans retaining the governorship and Democrats capturing the Senate. Recent surveys from late June and early July indicate the Senate race remains within single digits, consistent with historical New Hampshire patterns of ticket splitting. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave room for shifts in nominee strength or turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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