Recent polling in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial contests shows both races remain highly competitive, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican Mike Rogers by narrow margins in some surveys while Jocelyn Benson holds a slim lead over John James. Primary results from early August produced these matchups without decisive shifts, leaving voter turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, economic conditions, and national midterm dynamics as key variables. The implied probability favoring a Democratic sweep reflects the modest edge in current aggregates, yet substantial volume on split outcomes underscores uncertainty over whether coattails or ticket-splitting will prevail on November 3. Late-cycle polling movement or turnout surprises could widen separation among the outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党圧勝 56%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 32%
共和党が圧勝 10%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党圧勝
56%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
32%
共和党が圧勝
10%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利
4%
民主党圧勝 56%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 32%
共和党が圧勝 10%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党圧勝
$126 Vol.
56%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
$111 Vol.
32%
共和党が圧勝
$445 Vol.
10%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利
$631 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial contests shows both races remain highly competitive, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican Mike Rogers by narrow margins in some surveys while Jocelyn Benson holds a slim lead over John James. Primary results from early August produced these matchups without decisive shifts, leaving voter turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, economic conditions, and national midterm dynamics as key variables. The implied probability favoring a Democratic sweep reflects the modest edge in current aggregates, yet substantial volume on split outcomes underscores uncertainty over whether coattails or ticket-splitting will prevail on November 3. Late-cycle polling movement or turnout surprises could widen separation among the outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$1,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial contests shows both races remain highly competitive, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican Mike Rogers by narrow margins in some surveys while Jocelyn Benson holds a slim lead over John James. Primary results from early August produced these matchups without decisive shifts, leaving voter turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, economic conditions, and national midterm dynamics as key variables. The implied probability favoring a Democratic sweep reflects the modest edge in current aggregates, yet substantial volume on split outcomes underscores uncertainty over whether coattails or ticket-splitting will prevail on November 3. Late-cycle polling movement or turnout surprises could widen separation among the outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$1,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial contests shows both races remain highly competitive, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican Mike Rogers by narrow margins in some surveys while Jocelyn Benson holds a slim lead over John James. Primary results from early August produced these matchups without decisive shifts, leaving voter turnout patterns in suburban and rural areas, economic conditions, and national midterm dynamics as key variables. The implied probability favoring a Democratic sweep reflects the modest edge in current aggregates, yet substantial volume on split outcomes underscores uncertainty over whether coattails or ticket-splitting will prevail on November 3. Late-cycle polling movement or turnout surprises could widen separation among the outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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