The Laurier-Dorion riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with trader odds clustered near 44-50% for the leaders and well below for PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, Conservative Derek Lefebvre, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov. Fontecilla benefits from strong 2022 results and local incumbency in this Montreal district, while Liberals draw on historical strength and broader provincial positioning ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent candidate nominations through summer 2026 and the August 27 writ have not shifted the balance, as limited riding-specific polling and an open nomination window until September 17 sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could separate contenders include turnout among diverse urban voters, campaign focus on housing and services, and any late provincial momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ケリー・ラソ・デ・ラ・ベガ 44%
アンドレス・フォンテシージャ 42%
デレク・ルフェーブル 41%
エミル・パルフィヨノフ 41%
ケリー・ラソ・デ・ラ・ベガ
44%
アンドレス・フォンテシージャ
42%
デレク・ルフェーブル
41%
エミル・パルフィヨノフ
41%
ランディ・ルゴー＝ランキン
28%
ケリー・ラソ・デ・ラ・ベガ 44%
アンドレス・フォンテシージャ 42%
デレク・ルフェーブル 41%
エミル・パルフィヨノフ 41%
ケリー・ラソ・デ・ラ・ベガ
44%
アンドレス・フォンテシージャ
42%
デレク・ルフェーブル
41%
エミル・パルフィヨノフ
41%
ランディ・ルゴー＝ランキン
28%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
The Laurier-Dorion riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with trader odds clustered near 44-50% for the leaders and well below for PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, Conservative Derek Lefebvre, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov. Fontecilla benefits from strong 2022 results and local incumbency in this Montreal district, while Liberals draw on historical strength and broader provincial positioning ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent candidate nominations through summer 2026 and the August 27 writ have not shifted the balance, as limited riding-specific polling and an open nomination window until September 17 sustain uncertainty. Key factors that could separate contenders include turnout among diverse urban voters, campaign focus on housing and services, and any late provincial momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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