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世界·カナダ

Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者

icon for Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者
世界·カナダ

Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者

カリーヌ・ラフラム 44%

ベルナール・ドランヴィル 43%

ブリタニー・ブレイス 27%

サイモン・ボーシャン＝レヴェイエ 25%

Polymarket
新規

カリーヌ・ラフラム 44%

ベルナール・ドランヴィル 43%

ブリタニー・ブレイス 27%

サイモン・ボーシャン＝レヴェイエ 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for カリーヌ・ラフラム

カリーヌ・ラフラム

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for ベルナール・ドランヴィル

ベルナール・ドランヴィル

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for ブリタニー・ブレイス

ブリタニー・ブレイス

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for サイモン・ボーシャン＝レヴェイエ

サイモン・ボーシャン＝レヴェイエ

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for ヤニック・ゴドブー

ヤニック・ゴドブー

$0 Vol.

23%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Lévis features a tight contest between incumbent CAQ MNA Bernard Drainville and PCQ challenger Karine Laflamme, with projections from aggregators placing their parties in a virtual dead heat around 28-37% support each. Drainville’s established local record on infrastructure and economic files is offset by provincial headwinds for the CAQ and his recent unsuccessful leadership bid, while Laflamme capitalizes on voter interest in the third-link project and Conservative momentum in the Quebec City region. Other candidates from the PQ, Liberals, and QS trail further back but could influence vote splits on mobility, housing, and regional development priorities. The race remains fluid ahead of the October 5 vote, with potential separation driven by turnout among undecided voters, targeted campaign events, or shifts in polling on key local issues.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election in Lévis features a tight contest between incumbent CAQ MNA Bernard Drainville and PCQ challenger Karine Laflamme, with projections from aggregators placing their parties in a virtual dead heat around 28-37% support each. Drainville’s established local record on infrastructure and economic files is offset by provincial headwinds for the CAQ and his recent unsuccessful leadership bid, while Laflamme capitalizes on voter interest in the third-link project and Conservative momentum in the Quebec City region. Other candidates from the PQ, Liberals, and QS trail further back but could influence vote splits on mobility, housing, and regional development priorities. The race remains fluid ahead of the October 5 vote, with potential separation driven by turnout among undecided voters, targeted campaign events, or shifts in polling on key local issues.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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よくある質問

「Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カリーヌ・ラフラム」で44%、次いで「ベルナール・ドランヴィル」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「カリーヌ・ラフラム」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ベルナール・ドランヴィル」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Lévis Quebec国民議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。